Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.080390 0.095473 0.112391 0.132745 0.156536 0.183433 0.216117
2025-02-23 0.059570 0.079649 0.104733 0.138234 0.181651 0.235853 0.308466
2025-03-02 0.044058 0.064827 0.093112 0.134151 0.191823 0.269570 0.381828
2025-03-09 0.035187 0.056104 0.086716 0.134281 0.205703 0.308179 0.465341
2025-03-16 0.028412 0.048646 0.080201 0.132262 0.215069 0.340439 0.542908
2025-03-23 0.024448 0.044591 0.077813 0.135588 0.232207 0.385453 0.644191
2025-03-30 0.020561 0.039804 0.073255 0.134357 0.241403 0.418620 0.730290
2025-04-06 0.017179 0.035194 0.068112 0.131083 0.246311 0.444841 0.807441
2025-04-13 0.014307 0.030949 0.062841 0.126589 0.248141 0.465580 0.877032
2025-04-20 0.012758 0.028996 0.061478 0.129027 0.262656 0.509827 0.992470
2025-04-27 0.011296 0.026930 0.059534 0.129961 0.274283 0.549875 1.104315
2025-05-04 0.010011 0.024997 0.057527 0.130407 0.284868 0.588901 1.218115
2025-05-11 0.008983 0.023489 0.056250 0.132338 0.299027 0.637012 1.356074
2025-05-18 0.008316 0.022715 0.056473 0.137576 0.320833 0.702830 1.536639
2025-05-25 0.007123 0.020392 0.052780 0.133458 0.321871 0.726321 1.633438
2025-06-01 0.006351 0.018997 0.051040 0.133575 0.332270 0.770437 1.777892
2025-06-08 0.005573 0.017420 0.048579 0.131563 0.337457 0.803762 1.902509
2025-06-15 0.005147 0.016743 0.048290 0.134871 0.355581 0.867493 2.100344
2025-06-22 0.004574 0.015515 0.046347 0.133646 0.362505 0.906526 2.246488
2025-06-29 0.003998 0.014147 0.043786 0.130389 0.363898 0.932802 2.365861
2025-07-06 0.003456 0.012766 0.040944 0.125917 0.361553 0.949866 2.465195
2025-07-13 0.003200 0.012268 0.040585 0.128343 0.377679 1.013472 2.682758
2025-07-20 0.002925 0.011646 0.039749 0.129272 0.389883 1.068585 2.884881